Swintenel read
Speculation-heavy
DIS: -0.8% over the past year. The Walt Disney Company is a global entertainment company that produces films, television shows, and operates theme parks and streaming services.
→ swintenel analyze DIS
Communication Services · Entertainment
Swintenel read
Speculation-heavy
DIS: -0.8% over the past year. The Walt Disney Company is a global entertainment company that produces films, television shows, and operates theme parks and streaming services.
Growth beats expectations and the speculation premium holds — upside if narrative strengthens.
Expectations reset lower — miss risk is elevated with 74% speculation premium priced in.
Price series and mix come from the ticker cache. Quote multiples and annual statements come from FMP when the key is configured. Headlines and earnings dates come from the scan cache. Missing fields stay as dashes — we do not invent a live tape or a buy/sell rating.
Price mix
We split the last price into three parts: what looks backed by earnings today, what already assumes growth, and what is still a bet. This describes the price. It is not a rating.
How much of today's price looks backed by what the company already earns. Not a guess about next year.
How much of the price already assumes growth that looks more like it is on the books, sitting on top of today's earnings.
What is left after those two. The market is paying for a future that still has to show up. That leftover can stay, shrink, or reverse. It is not a score or a buy signal.
Constructive and risk cases sit on Overview. What would break the thesis lives in Thesis check.
When they report
Two things: when you'd hear the next report, and whether profit per share has been going up.
Next report on file is Tue, Nov 17, 2026 · in 14 days. That's when you'd hear the latest numbers.
Last print
Next print
Tue, Nov 17, 2026 · in 14 days
Profit per share is up about 2% versus a year ago.
Options in the cache imply about a 7.3% swing either way. Not a call on up or down.
Sales
Sales
Tue, Nov 17, 2026 · in 14 days
Headlines
Operational memo
What has to stay true, and what would break it. A price drop alone does not count. Street counts stay in the rail; definitions are at the bottom of this page.
The memo bet on Walt Disney: The Walt Disney Company is a global entertainment company that produces films, television shows, and operates theme parks and streaming services. It sits in Entertainment.
Full description, quality metrics, and statements live under Depth. This tab is the economics the memo is betting on — and whether the latest facts still match that bet.
When the economics of Walt Disney changed — or looked like they might — here is what that looks like now.
Recent headlines in the cache: "Is It Time To Revisit Disney (DIS) After A Five Year Share Price Slump?"; "Disney World opens a key new attraction early". Treat these as starting points to verify against filings and calls — not as settled proof.
The next dated print on the calendar is 2026-11-17. The working memo line is: The Walt Disney Company is a global entertainment company that produces films, television shows, and operates theme parks and streaming services.
The company has shown revenue growth of 3.4% and a net income of $12.4 billion with a 13.1% net margin, indicating solid profitability. A price move alone does not confirm or break that line.
To judge whether that matters, you need how the company got here.
Over the cached window from 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30, the stock path is -0.8%. That move is the run-up (or drawdown) the current price contains — not a verdict.
Reported revenue growth in the fundamentals pack is 3.40% year over year. Digest earnings note: $12.4B | Net Margin: 13.1%.
Separate what reported numbers have already shown from what is still promised. Must-stay-true checks are in the memo below — not restated here.
A large move should make you careful - the relevant history explains why people disagree.
The price history in this cache shows 0 drawdowns of 30% or more across about 1.1 years. That is a base rate, not a forecast.
The standing bear case on this page: Expectations reset lower — miss risk is elevated with 74% speculation premium priced in. The countercase: Growth beats expectations and the speculation premium holds — upside if narrative strengthens.
The memo below is what must stay true for DIS, and what would prove it wrong.
The DIS memo turns on what must stay true, and what would prove it wrong.
The Walt Disney Company is a global entertainment company that produces films, television shows, and operates theme parks and streaming services. The company has shown revenue growth of 3.4% and a net income of $12.4 billion with a 13.1% net margin, indicating solid profitability. Currently, Disney trades at a forward P/E of 13.52 and a P/S of 1.81, suggesting its valuation is reasonable compared to its sales. With a…
Below we track the key markers for this stock. If any of them break, that is a mechanical hit to the thesis. A stock drop alone does not count.
Must be true Price implies ~25%/yr revenue growth vs ~9%/yr history (~16pp step-up).
UncheckedBreaks if: Delivered growth falls short of what the multiple already prices in.
Where we look: Not scheduled yet — checkpoint lands when the engine drafts one.
Must be true The growth narrative must hold against current fundamentals.
UncheckedBreaks if: Delivered growth falls short of what the multiple already prices in.
Where we look: Not scheduled yet — checkpoint lands when the engine drafts one.
Analyst price targets
Consensus $125.67 · median $123
Range $111 – $164 · +13.3% vs last
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
Street grade mix
0 strong buy · 40 buy · 20 hold · 4 sell · 0 strong sell
64 ratings · FMP label “Buy” — counts only, not a recommendation.
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
Street annual estimates
FY 2027 · revenue $106.25B · EPS $7.52
What analysts publish for the next annual period (17 EPS estimates) — not a Swintenel forecast.
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
RSI
RSI(14) = 58 · bar 2026-10-30
RSI (Relative Strength Index) measures recent price momentum on a 0–100 scale. Readings under 30 are often called 'oversold'; over 70 'overbought' — labels for the reading, not trade advice.
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
Insider Form 4 activity
Y2026 Q4: 1 acquire / 2 dispose transactions
Descriptive ownership activity from filings — not a buy/sell signal.
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
Average close
50-day avg $107.35 · 200-day avg $103.46
Simple moving averages of recent closes — context for where price sits, not a signal.
via FMP · as of Nov 3, 2026
Dossier
Cached research in tabs. More filled dots means higher versus other names. Not a rating.
Walt Disney Co · Communication Services · Entertainment
The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme
Reported quality from statements first. More filled dots means higher versus other names. Not a rating.
Ownership, short interest, and Form 4 stats. Named 13F holder tables are not on this FMP tier.
Digest compiled by Swintenel from SEC EDGAR filings and internal agent research. Not investment advice. Third-party data vendors are not affiliated with Swintenel.